Wednesday, June 16, 2010

Tropical Disturbance Remains Disorganized

On Sunday I blogged about the above disturbance that was moving West off of the coast of Africa.  At the time it looked like there was ample opportunity for this system to organize and become the first tropical depression of the season in the Atlantic.  Well, as the saying goes, "time changes everything" and tropical disturbances are apparently no exception.

Winds in the middle and upper levels of the atmosphere have become less and less favorable for tropical development and/or organization over the past few days.  The Tropical Prediction Center (TPC) now forecasts only a 10% chance of development or intensification with this system  over the next 48 hours.

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