Monday, June 21, 2010

What Will Become of 93L?

The above visible satellite image was taken at 5:15 pm Central Time, and shows the broad tropical wave that has been identified thus far as "93L", in the eastern Carribean Sea.  This wave is currently moving slowly Westward, and present indications are that the wind & instability profile throughout the atmosphere will become more and more conducive for this system to develop and become better organized over the next several days.

Below is an image depicting 2 computer forecast model solutions on the track of "93L" over the next 144 hours.  Both models develop the system into at least a Tropical Storm during that period of time, with a general track toward the mouth of the Gulf of Mexico by this coming weekend.

If this system does indeed become a Tropical Storm or Hurricane, it will be named "Alex".

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