The area of disturbed weather over the northwest Carribean Sea went from just that... an area of disturbed weather... to Tropical Storm Karl, in a little under 12 hours today.
At 4pm CDT...the center of Karl was located about 270 miles East of Chetumal, Mexico. Movement was West/Northwest at about 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds were estimated at 40 mph. Some additional strengthening is possible overinight as the system approaches the Yucatan Peninsula.
Karl is expected to make landfall on the Yucatan tomorrow afternoon. It will then emerge back out in the open waters of the southwest Gulf of Mexico early on Thursday. A second landfall along the middle coast of Mexico is then expected late Friday or early Saturday.