There is what we call a "conditional risk" of severe storms in a narrow corridor from the ArkLaTex area into the lower and middle Mississippi Valley region today.
The risk is termed "conditional" because there is some uncertainty as to whether or not thunderstorms will be able to form and become well organized in this area.
If thunderstorms are able to form and sustain themselves during the peak heating of the afternoon and early evening today, a few will likely become strong to severe. Damaging wind gusts and large hail are the primary threats, although an isolated tornado cannot be completely ruled out.
This is the type of situation where I would certainly recommend going about with your normal activities, and if you observe a thunderstorm forming late in the afternoon or early this evening, be sure to check a trusted local source for the latest information.
Meanwhile, a more pronounced threat of severe weather continues to take shape for tomorrow. For more information on that threat, please see this post from yesterday, which is still on track, and watch for another update here on the blog later today.
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