Saturday, March 16, 2013

Isolated Severe Weather Threat in the Mid-Atlantic Region Today and Plains Tonight...

A weak frontal boundary will interact with a gradually moistening low-level atmosphere to produce scattered thunderstorms from portions of the Tennessee Valley into the Mid-Atlantic region this afternoon and this evening.

A few of the storms could produce hail and wind gusts near severe limits, as shown by the blue shaded area on the image above (click to enlarge).  A significant and/or widespread severe weather episode is not expected.

Further West, isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop tonight from southeast Kansas and northeast Oklahoma, Eastward along the Arkansas/Missouri border.  There is a slight chance that one or two of these storms could produce hail approaching severe limits primarily after Midnight tonight and into the pre-dawn hours of Sunday, especially along the Arkansas/Missouri border region.

Our overall thoughts regarding the possibility of severe weather on Monday have not changed since the update yesterday afternoon.  I'll be posting another update on that situation by midday today.

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