As expected for the past few days, today appears to be potentially the most significant severe weather day this week (although tomorrow could be quite strong in spots as well).
Here is the latest severe weather outlook for today and tonight (click to enlarge the image):
The highest potential for tornadoes and very large (i.e., 2" diameter or larger) hail will likely take place within the reddish-orangish shaded area from northwest Texas through central and northeastern Oklahoma. This includes the cities of Wichita Falls, Lawton, Oklahoma City and Tulsa.
At this time it appears that storms will fire by mid to late afternoon along the Western edge of the overall severe outlook area, and then move and develop East/Northeast. The highest tornado potential will take place with isolated storms that are able to become well organized during the first 1-3 hours of development. After that, the situation will likely translate into primarily a damaging wind event, with a continued threat of hail as well.
Storms will progress East and Southeast into the overnight hours, so please be sure to have a way of receiving weather warnings at night tonight across roughly the Southeastern third of the outlook area, including the Hill Country in southcentral Texas.
By Wednesday, the threat will shift Eastward into the middle and lower Mississippi Valley region. Strong to severe storms will likely be ongoing along the Western edge of the outlook area around dawn tomorrow, progressing Eastward during the day:
If you live or have travel plans across the severe weather outlook areas for the next two days, please be sure to stay alert and make sure that you have a way to receive severe weather warnings - no matter what time of day it is or where you might be.
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Coming April, 2013: "The Tornado Chronicles" full website!
• Interactive tornado database back to 1950 (earlier years coming soon)
• Interactive radar with live warnings and street-level zoom
• Tornado safety, preparedness and education
• Daily tornado/severe weather outlook
• Photos, videos and more!