Friday, August 5, 2011

Will Emily Be Called Emily Again? Tropical Storm Naming Trivia...

The remnants of Tropical Storm Emily are beginning to move into the southern Bahamas this morning (yellow circled area on satellite image above), after taking a battering from Cuba and Hispaniola yesterday.

I've received several e-mails in the last 24 hours all basically asking the same question: If the remnants of Emily regenerate into a Tropical Depression, Storm or Hurricane, what will it be called?  Will the whole thing start over, or will it retain the name "Emily".

That's an excellent question.  Right now, if the system that we see on the satellite image at the top of this post (which is literally the remnants of the original Emily) were to reform into a Tropical Depression, Storm, or Hurricane, it would indeed be called "Emily" again.  That's largely because we can still visibly see the remnants of the former Emily on satellite and/or surface observations.  If the system were to completely diminish and leave no trace evidence on satellite or surface observations, then the classification/naming process we would start over (as there is no longer a "remnant" to trace).

So, with that addressed, the next logical question is what's going on with the remnants of Emily, and will they reform into Emily again?  I think the short answer is yes, we will see Emily again, possibly as early as tomorrow.  The system is moving into an area favorable for development, with respect to both warm waters and a very favorable middle and upper-level wind pattern.  It's for these reasons that the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is currently giving Emily a "high" chance of redeveloping over the weekend.  

Regardless of how this exactly pans out over the next couple of days... heavy showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds will continue to overspread the Bahamas today and Saturday.

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