Friday, August 27, 2010

Tropical Storm Earl Getting Organized

Tropical Storm Earl continues to organize out over the open Atlantic.  At 4am Central time this morning...the center of Earl was located about 1430 miles East of the northernmost Leeward Islands.  Earl was moving West at 17 mph, with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph.

Earl is currently forecast to continue moving in a general Westward direction for the next few days, then gradually start turning more toward the Northwest by early next week.

Earl is forecast to become a hurricane over the second half of this weekend.  In the longer range, the forecast models (see image below) start turning Earl more out on a Northward track by early next week, with a potential impact on Bermuda by as early as mid-week.  This is obviously a "long-range" forecast in hurricane terms, so we'll need to monitor trends closely for any shift in track.

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