A cold front/dryline is advancing Southeastward across northwest Texas at the moment, as shown on the latest surface map and radar composite image above. As you can see, isolated thunderstorms are already breaking out along and ahead of the front over northwest Texas, both to the North and South of the Abilene area.
The front will continue Southeastward this afternoon and evening, approaching the I-35 corridor on the north end (including the DFW Metroplex) by early to mid-evening, and on the southern end (including the Austin-San Antonio area) by late evening (likely between 10pm and Midnight CST).
Thunderstorms will continue to develop along and ahead of the front as it progresses toward I-35 this afternoon and evening. Large hail and damaging winds will be the primary severe threats, although isolated tornadoes also cannot be ruled out, especially in northcentral Texas where wind profiles are slightly more favorable for such a threat.
Very heavy rainfall will also accompany this activity into the overnight hours, with widespread heavy rain likely as a large complex of storms develops and moves East of I-35 during the pre-dawn hours Saturday.
If you live across this region, stay alert this afternoon, evening and tonight. Be sure that you have a way to receive warnings if threatening weather approaches your area. A NOAA Weather Radio with a battery back up or a smartphone application would be two good options.
Stay tuned for updates as this situation unfolds...
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