Thursday, February 16, 2012

Significant Severe Weather & Tornado Threat Deep South / Southeast Saturday...


In a post yesterday evening I briefly mentioned the threat of a potentially significant severe weather outbreak across portions of the Deep South on Saturday and Saturday night.  The latest day 3 outlook from the SPC in Norman, OK also reflects that threat, and is shown above.

I wouldn't pay too much attention to the "slight" risk categorization as it currently stands, as this is a fairly common approach that is taken  by the SPC at this time range.  The threat of severe weather across the yellow shaded area is significant, with a few strong tornadoes also possible.

The way things look right now, the highest risk corresponds pretty closely to the red shaded area on the image below, which is the "probability" version of the first image:


Right now it appears that severe thunderstorms will develop near the Western portion of the outlook area as early as midday Saturday, with the threat progressing Eastward during the afternoon and evening hours.

This has the potential of becoming a significant outbreak for the affected areas.  If you live in this region, please stay alert on Saturday.  Review severe weather safety and preparedness tips now, and have a plan of action in place ahead of time.

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