As we've been mentioning for the past several days, an organized threat of severe weather appears likely this coming Wednesday. The primary threat area (as it appears at this time) is outlined in red on the image above. This threat area has remained consistent over the past several outlooks, so confidence is high that severe weather will impact a significant part of this region on Wednesday.
Severe thunderstorms are forecast to develop along a strong dryline and near a surface low pressure center over southwest or southcentral Nebraska and northwest or northcentral Kansas by late afternoon. Activity will then develop Southward along the dryline into Western portions of Kansas and Oklahoma, as well as portions of northwest Texas. The overall activity will move Eastward during the remainder of the late afternoon and evening hours on Wednesday.
Very large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes will all be possible with severe thunderstorms in this area on Wednesday.