Thursday, May 19, 2011

Severe Weather Update for Today - Plains

The above is the latest severe weather outlook for today from the SPC in Norman, OK.  Severe thunderstorms, including tornadoes, are possible anywhere within the yellow shaded areas on the image above.  This includes the Wichita, Great Bend, Salina, Topeka, Russell, Pratt, Enid, Lawton, Wichita Falls, Abilene and San Angelo areas.

A strong dryline is forecast to extend from southcentral (or the eastern part of southwest) Kansas into western Oklahoma and northwest Texas by afternoon today.  Thunderstorms are forecast to form by mid to late afternoon along that part of the dryline in Kansas and northwest Oklahoma.  This activity will move and develop Northeast into adjacent portions of northcentral Oklahoma and central Kansas.

Very large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes will be possible with this activity.  A strong and/or long track tornado is also possible in this region, particularly from northwest Oklahoma into central Kansas, late this afternoon or this evening.

Otherwise, isolated thunderstorms may also form further Southward along the dryline into western Oklahoma and possibly northwest Texas very late in the afternoon or this evening.  A strong capping inversion remains in place in this area, so development in this region is more in question compared to areas further North.  Any thunderstorm that does form in this region, however, will likely become severe quickly, with large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes possible.

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